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Start with the three candidates — Miramar, Florida, Mayor Wayne Messam, Massachusetts Rep. Seth Moulton and Montana Gov. Steve Bullock — who didn’t clear the bar to qualify for the first debates of the race later this month. (MUCH more on the first debates below.) They’re the most obvious to drop, except none of them are burdened with either high expectations or large staffs — the two most traditional reasons for being forced out of the presidential race.
Instead, keep an eye on candidates who may have tried to grow too fast — in terms of staff and organization — and could be running out of money sometime soon. Julián Castro might fit into that category. Ditto Kirsten Gillibrand.
To be clear: No one is dropping out of the race until the first debates — and maybe not even for a few months after that. But at some point the money runs out, the polls don’t move and the writing is on the wall.
4. The Court is in: The Supreme Court’s current term will end in a little over two weeks — and there’s still several decisions yet to come down…